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Coaches / Head coach / Jeff Lebby
Form · last two seasons
66
performing to its level
Rating64recent
Peak66best 5 yrs
Career63whole career
confidence

Jeff Lebby

Head Coach · Mississippi State

Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.

Chemistry
Chem 44: warning zone44
continuity at Mississippi State · early
Seasons here3
Programs5
Stints7

Career path

Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
2024–2026Mississippi StateHead Coach
2023Mississippi StateHead Football Coach
2022–2023OklahomaOffensive Coordinator / Quarterbacks
2020–2021Ole MissAssistant Coach/Offensive Coordinator/Quarterbacks
2019UCFOffensive Coordinator/Quarterbacks
2018UCFQuarterbacks
2016BaylorPassing Game Coordinator (Running Backs)/Off. Recruiting Coord.

Chemistry

vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
How much continuity and loyalty his programs carryat Mississippi State
Tenure here — Seasons as head coach at his current schoolTenure here59Staff continuity — Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked togetherStaff continuitysoonPlayer retention — Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)Player retention26Followers — Players and staff who followed him from his previous jobFollowers60QB & coordinator — How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinatorQB & coordinatorsoonRoster continuity — Share of starters returning from one season to the next under himRoster continuity33
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
59
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
soon
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
26
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
60
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
soon
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
33
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.

As head coach

Rating64Form66≈ as usualPeak66Career63
2024–2026 · 3 seasonsRecord 7-18National titles 0Great seasons 0 (top ~7% of all teams that year)Career: too early to rank all-time (8+ seasons as a head coach)
  • Rating 64: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
  • Peak 66: best five-season stretch, 2024–2026 at Mississippi State (7-18), taking over an average program.
Over expectation · 2016 on65Results against what his rosters' talent predicted (program lift, evaluation, recruiting, staff building, game management).

Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.

Program lift69
Evaluation53
Results68
Recruiting53
Staff building51
Game management82
SeasonTeamRecordSeason rankvs contemporaries
2026Mississippi State0-0#20+1.20 SD
2025Mississippi State5-8#62+0.20 SD
2024Mississippi State2-10#70-0.14 SD
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).

As offensive coordinator

Rating87Peak87

His offense against its preseason projection (value over expectation) and the unit's opponent-adjusted quality.

SeasonTeamUnit (EPA/play)Over expectationSeason score
2023Oklahoma0.150.081.42
2022Oklahoma0.08-0.040.07
2021Ole Miss0.12-0.010.58
2021Oklahoma0.16-0.030.58
2020Ole Miss0.150.101.57
2019UCF0.130.020.84
Season score: 0 = an average season in this role; positive = better.