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Games / Week 3 / Florida @ Auburn
79
Away
Gators
#17 · 2-0
As of kickoff
Week 3 · ERADM; ESPN · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Auburn, AL · 79° Cloudy · 4 mph
All-time series
Florida 40 – 44 Auburn
86 since 1904 · 2 ties · FLA 2 straight
Last 2026 Florida 44–39
77
Tigers
#23 · 2-0
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Picks · locked at kickoff

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Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
even
Close
Florida by 2.5
Final
Florida by 5
Winner
—

Got right — the number, within a score.

Missed — the number — market was closer (3 pts off vs our 5).

Florida
44
Final
Florida won
Auburn
39
How it was won
  1. 1.Baugh rush middle for 53 yards, touchdown
  2. 2.Florida's front sacked them 7 times.
  3. 3.Florida converted 7 of 15 third downs; Auburn went 6 of 12.

The Matchup

FloridavsAuburn
76
QB
1,341 yds · 9 TD · 3 INT
QB
FLA +6
87
RB
672 yds · 12 TD · 7 rec
RB
FLA +11
76
RB
612 yds · 7 TD · 5 rec
79
WR
26 rec · 376 yds · 3 TD
WR
FLA +4
74
TE
2 rec · 19 yds · 0 TD
TE
FLA +14
60
TE
4 rec · 37 yds · 1 TD
80
OL
OL
FLA +6
74
OL
5 starts
DL
FLA +5
80
DL
19 tkl · 1 sacks · 4 TFL
74
CB
10 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
DB
AUB +4
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Florida -2.5, now -2.5: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.