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Teams / Pac-12 / Oregon State
Index · this season
72
at its 5-year level▲ Up 15 this season
Career65since 1936
Peak892000
Last 569seasons
#40 nationally · 4-2 (2-0 conf)
Résumé #57 · better than its record
Schedule so far #91
Margin ±5 pts (tightens with games)
Why 72? →

Oregon State Beavers

Pac-12 · Corvallis, OR · Reser Stadium · Head coach JaMarcus Shephard
Rival
Heated rivalry
46-57-6 all time (109 meetings since 1916)
Oregon leads
Last: lost 41-7 (2025) · Oregon has won 3 straight
Wants it back
program traits are earned from history
No recognized national titles since 1936. Counted: AP poll champion, a coaches-poll champion, or the BCS / playoff title-game winner; a split year counts for both.0national titles
Heisman Trophy winners1Heisman
Seasons finishing in the AP top 10 since 19364AP top-10
Consensus All-Americans since 19365All-Americans
NFL draft picks since 196781NFL picks
Winning percentage since 193643.5%win pct
History since 1936 · football since 1915. Every season →
Chemistry
Chem 56: new staff, still building56
Chem 36: warning zone
36Foundation
Chem 79: strong
79Gel
gel counts 45% so far
▲ Above its norm +4Trending up
early · #77 of 138
HC year1
Ret. starters46%
QB yrs w/ OC1
View chemistry →
Team chemistryearly · #77 of 138 FBS teams
Chem 36: warning zoneFoundation36+Chem 79: strongGel79=Chem 56: typicalChem56Gel counts 45% so far (it grows as games are played, up to half)
Foundationwhat the program has built · moves over seasons
Foundation36Staff stability — Coach and coordinator tenure, staff who came along, assistant turnoverStaff stability26Roster continuity — Returning starters and the lineup's experienceRoster continuity64Unit cohesion — QB & coordinator, QB & receivers, offensive line, defense: how long each unit has played togetherUnit cohesion62Administration — Athletic director continuity and coach-AD alignmentAdministration30Investment — Commitment to football: its share of the department's spending and whether that is growing, plus spending and recruitingInvestment41Fan base — How passionate and loyal the fan base is: how often it sells out, and whether it sells out games that don't matterFan base52
ContinuityClimate
Continuity · who has played and coached togetherlive

Who has played and coached together, and for how long, ranked against every FBS team at the same point of the season.

▸Staff stability
Coach and coordinator tenure, staff who came along, assistant turnover
26
Staff cohesion22
HC year 1 · OC year 1 · DC year 1
Assistant turnover29
88% of on-field staff new this season (FBS average about 45%)
▸Roster continuity
Returning starters and the lineup's experience
64
Returning core73
45% of last season's starters · FBS median 34%
Experience56
10 career starts per starter · FBS median 11
▸Unit cohesion
QB & coordinator, QB & receivers, offensive line, defense: how long each unit has played together
62
QB & coordinator55
1st season together · same as 75% of FBS teams
QB & receivers68
4.3 games started together on average · FBS median 4.0
Line cohesion54
4.2 games per linemen pair · FBS median 5.2
Defensive cohesion74
5.4 games per defensive pair · FBS median 4.5
Climate · around the programlive

The administration, money and fans around the team: athletic director continuity, willingness to invest, and crowds.

▸Administration
Athletic director continuity and coach-AD alignment
30
AD continuity30
Kevin Griffin · year 1 (Wikipedia, CC BY-SA)
▸Investment
Commitment to football: its share of the department's spending and whether that is growing, plus spending and recruiting
41
Football's share33
24% of department spending goes to football
Investment trend33
+7% over three years
Football investment61
$23.8M on football (2024-25 federal report)
Recruiting spend61
$1.25M men's recruiting
Department resources62
$105M athletic department revenue
▸Fan base
How passionate and loyal the fan base is: how often it sells out, and whether it sells out games that don't matter
52
Sellouts53
sellout crowds (95%+ of capacity) at 2 of 43 home games (last 8 seasons)
Sells out anyway51
sellout crowds at 1 of 34 games that didn't matter: cupcakes, or a team expected to lose or having a losing season

Finances: U.S. Department of Education athletics disclosures, as reported by each school. Athletic directors: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA). Attendance: reported crowds vs stadium capacity.

Gelhow it is working right now · moves week to week
Gel79Playing above its parts — Results vs what its preseason projection expected, game by gamePlaying above its parts99Settled & sharp — A settled starting lineup and clean execution (penalties, turnovers) vs its own normalSettled & sharp53Alignment — Coaches and players telling the same story; the staff on one pageAlignmentsoonResilience — Confidence, and how the team sounds after adversityResiliencesoonFan & media mood — Expectations met or missed this season (preseason rank vs now), stronger for fan bases that react hard; fan and media sentiment joins laterFan & media mood99Coach security — The hard-facts hot seat, inverted: results vs expectation, recent seasons vs the program's norm, stakes, a new ADCoach security93
InternalOn-field fitExternal
Internal · how the program talkscoming

How the team talks in press conferences and interviews, each program against its own normal, so a naturally terse coach isn't read as upset. Being built program by program, Big Ten first.

▸Alignment
Coaches and players telling the same story; the staff on one page
soon
Coming: measured from press conferences and interviews.
▸Resilience
Confidence, and how the team sounds after adversity
soon
Coming: measured from press conferences and interviews.

Readings are team-level; we don't publish psychological readings of individual players.

On-field fit · how it is playing togetherlive

How the team is playing together this season: beating or missing its preseason expectation, a settled lineup, clean execution.

▸Playing above its parts
Results vs what its preseason projection expected, game by game
99
This season99
+17.9 points a game vs its preseason projection (5 games)
▸Settled & sharp
A settled starting lineup and clean execution (penalties, turnovers) vs its own normal
53
This season53
77% of starters kept game to game
External · pressure from outsidelive

Pressure from outside the building: the hard-facts hot seat now; this season's fan and media mood as it is measured.

▸Fan & media mood
Expectations met or missed this season (preseason rank vs now), stronger for fan bases that react hard; fan and media sentiment joins later
99
This season99
outside the AP poll: projected #99 preseason -> #40 in our Index now · rival week vs Washington State (+3) · results 4-2 (+12, recent games count more) · bowl team out of nowhere (4.2 wins preseason -> 7.9) (+10)
▸Coach security
The hard-facts hot seat, inverted: results vs expectation, recent seasons vs the program's norm, stakes, a new AD
93
This season93
JaMarcus Shephard, year 1 · 67% wins so far · +17.9 pts a game vs preseason expectation · new athletic director

Dashed gold ring = typical (62). 20-50 is the warning zone; under 10 is a collapse. Spokes with no data yet are dashed and left out until they fill in. Chem blends the two halves, then places the blend among this season's teams.

Trend · Foundationeach program year runs Feb 1 to the title game
'1650'1753'1829'1960'2054'2167'2265'2363'2429'2549'262016 wk 1 vs Minnesota: 48 · L2016 wk 3 vs Idaho State: 64 · W2016 wk 4 vs Boise State: 52 · L2016 wk 5 vs Colorado: 48 · L2016 wk 6 vs California: 45 · W2016 wk 7 vs Utah: 44 · L2016 wk 8 vs Washington: 47 · L2016 wk 9 vs Washington State: 46 · L2016 wk 10 vs Stanford: 49 · L2016 wk 11 vs UCLA: 48 · L2016 wk 12 vs Arizona: 49 · W2016 wk 13 vs Oregon: 50 · W2017 wk 1 vs Portland State: 54 · W2017 wk 2 vs Minnesota: 57 · L2017 wk 3 vs Washington State: 56 · L2017 wk 5 vs Washington: 54 · L2017 wk 6 vs USC: 54 · L2017 wk 7 vs Colorado: 54 · L2017 wk 9 vs Stanford: 56 · L2017 wk 10 vs California: 54 · L2017 wk 11 vs Arizona: 55 · L2017 wk 12 vs Arizona State: 54 · L2017 wk 13 vs Oregon: 53 · L2018 wk 2 vs Southern Utah: 30 · W2018 wk 3 vs Nevada: 17 · L2018 wk 4 vs Arizona: 18 · L2018 wk 5 vs Arizona State: 30 · L2018 wk 6 vs Washington State: 30 · L2018 wk 8 vs California: 30 · L2018 wk 9 vs Colorado: 31 · W2018 wk 10 vs USC: 31 · L2018 wk 11 vs Stanford: 28 · L2018 wk 12 vs Washington: 30 · L2018 wk 13 vs Oregon: 29 · L2019 wk 2 vs Hawai'i: 61 · L2019 wk 3 vs Cal Poly: 60 · W2019 wk 5 vs Stanford: 60 · L2019 wk 6 vs UCLA: 61 · W2019 wk 7 vs Utah: 62 · L2019 wk 8 vs California: 62 · W2019 wk 10 vs Arizona: 61 · W2019 wk 11 vs Washington: 61 · L2019 wk 12 vs Arizona State: 62 · W2019 wk 13 vs Washington State: 63 · L2019 wk 14 vs Oregon: 60 · L2020 wk 11 vs Washington: 57 · L2020 wk 12 vs California: 57 · W2020 wk 13 vs Oregon: 57 · W2020 wk 14 vs Utah: 57 · L2020 wk 15 vs Stanford: 53 · L2020 wk 16 vs Arizona State: 54 · L2021 wk 2 vs Hawai'i: 64 · W2021 wk 3 vs Idaho: 67 · W2021 wk 4 vs USC: 66 · W2021 wk 5 vs Washington: 66 · W2021 wk 6 vs Washington State: 68 · L2021 wk 8 vs Utah: 67 · W2021 wk 9 vs California: 67 · L2021 wk 10 vs Colorado: 65 · L2021 wk 11 vs Stanford: 67 · W2021 wk 12 vs Arizona State: 67 · W2021 wk 13 vs Oregon: 68 · L2021 wk 1 vs Utah State: 67 · L2022 wk 2 vs Fresno State: 69 · W2022 wk 3 vs Montana State: 71 · W2022 wk 4 vs USC: 69 · L2022 wk 5 vs Utah: 69 · L2022 wk 6 vs Stanford: 70 · W2022 wk 7 vs Washington State: 65 · W2022 wk 8 vs Colorado: 65 · W2022 wk 10 vs Washington: 66 · L2022 wk 11 vs California: 68 · W2022 wk 12 vs Arizona State: 65 · W2022 wk 13 vs Oregon: 63 · W2022 wk 1 vs Florida: 65 · W2023 wk 2 vs UC Davis: 66 · W2023 wk 3 vs San Diego State: 66 · W2023 wk 4 vs Washington State: 67 · L2023 wk 5 vs Utah: 68 · W2023 wk 6 vs California: 68 · W2023 wk 7 vs UCLA: 66 · W2023 wk 9 vs Arizona: 66 · L2023 wk 10 vs Colorado: 68 · W2023 wk 11 vs Stanford: 67 · W2023 wk 12 vs Washington: 68 · L2023 wk 13 vs Oregon: 70 · L2023 wk 1 vs Notre Dame: 63 · L2024 wk 2 vs San Diego State: 29 · W2024 wk 3 vs Oregon: 27 · L2024 wk 4 vs Purdue: 26 · W2024 wk 6 vs Colorado State: 28 · W2024 wk 7 vs Nevada: 28 · L2024 wk 8 vs UNLV: 30 · L2024 wk 9 vs California: 27 · L2024 wk 11 vs San José State: 31 · L2024 wk 12 vs Air Force: 30 · L2024 wk 13 vs Washington State: 29 · W2024 wk 14 vs Boise State: 29 · L2025 wk 2 vs Fresno State: 53 · L2025 wk 3 vs Texas Tech: 52 · L2025 wk 4 vs Oregon: 53 · L2025 wk 5 vs Houston: 54 · L2025 wk 6 vs App State: 54 · L2025 wk 7 vs Wake Forest: 53 · L2025 wk 8 vs Lafayette: 53 · W2025 wk 10 vs Washington State: 48 · W2025 wk 11 vs Sam Houston: 43 · L2025 wk 12 vs Tulsa: 44 · L2025 wk 14 vs Washington State: 49 · L2026 wk 2 vs Texas Tech: 26 · L2026 wk 3 vs Montana: 35 · W2026 wk 4 vs UTEP: 35 · W2026 wk 5 vs Colorado State: 34 · W2026 wk 6 vs San Diego State: 36 · W2026 wk 7 vs Washington State: 36 · next gametypical 62

Every game since 2016, one continuous line; thin rules separate seasons and the chip is where each season finished. Navy dot = win, red = loss. Big drops usually mean a new staff, a new quarterback or a rebuilt line.

Trend · Gelthis season, after each game
typical 62wk 1 · on-field 78 · fan mood 62721wk 2 vs Texas Tech · L · on-field 62 · fan mood 71652wk 3 vs Montana · W · on-field 57 · fan mood 76643wk 4 vs UTEP · W · on-field 49 · fan mood 82614wk 5 vs Colorado State · W · on-field 55 · fan mood 99725wk 6 vs San Diego State · W · on-field 62 · fan mood 99766

How the team is working right now, rebuilt after each game from only the games so far: on-field fit (results vs preseason expectation, lineup settling, execution) and that week's fan & media mood. Coach security is part of today's Gel number but isn't rebuilt week by week yet. Navy frame = win, red = loss.

Continuity facts
Head coach
Year 1
new this season
Offensive coordinator
Year 1
new this season
Defensive coordinator
Year 1
new this season
HC & OC together
1 seasons
working together
QB with his OC
1 seasons
same play-caller
QB & receivers
4.3 games
started together, average
Offensive line pairs
4.2 games
started together, average
Returning starters
45%
from last season
Starter experience
11 starts
career average
Internal facts
Pressers read
soon
this season, coaches and players
Coach tone
soon
vs his own normal
"We" vs "I"
soon
share of team language
Owning mistakes
soon
vs pointing outward
Same story
soon
coaches and players agree
After losses
soon
how fast tone recovers
Leaders named
soon
players teammates point to
Newcomers
soon
transfers talked about as part of it
Openness
soon
forthcoming vs guarded
Measured from press conferences and interviews, program by program.
Climate facts
Athletic director
Kevin Griffin
year 1
Football spending
$23.8M
2024-25 federal report
Spending trend
+7%
over three years
Department revenue
$105M
all sports
Recruiting spend
$1.25M
men's teams
Home crowds
—
of capacity
Staff turnover
88%
on-field staff new this season
Fan mood
soon
fans and local media
Coach & AD
soon
on the same page
Finances: U.S. Department of Education athletics disclosures. Athletic directors: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).
Offense · games started togetherlatest lineup · 11 starters
Atkinson
Newberry
Butler
Legree
Hampton
Elu
Voltin
Anderson
Johnson
Shoats
QBBraden Atkinson6525666314
RBAJ Newberry5525555313
WRAaron Butler2222222211
WRJesse Legree5525555313
WRAeryn Hampton6525666314
OLNathan Elu65256138414
OLTyler Voltin65256815314
OLJacob Anderson3323343411
OLKwan Johnson1111111111
OLTeko Shoats4313444114

Each square: games the two players have started together at this school (darker = more). Gray diagonal: the player's own starts here.

Defense · games started togetherlatest lineup · 11 starters
Schuster
Matagi
Hickle
Layne
Haverland
Sullivan
Goodman
Crandall
Vadrawale
Vickers
Houi
DLJacob Schuster21510429551753
DLDaniel Matagi56653666663
LBTakari Hickle106155314661463
LBDylan Layne45552555553
LBWill Haverland23323333331
LBAiden Sullivan96145315661363
LBGyriece Goodman56653666663
DBTJ Crandall56653666663
DBSailasa Vadrawale III176145313662363
DBDrake Vickers56653666663
DBIsaiah Houi33331333333

Each square: games the two players have started together at this school (darker = more). Gray diagonal: the player's own starts here.

Chemistry is Scorebook's own rating of how well a program fits together, on the same all-time 0-99 scale as our other ratings (compared with every FBS team since 2016; 62 is typical, 20-50 signals something is wrong, and single digits are reserved for true collapses; each season is compared with its own era). This early version blends continuity (who has played and coached together, and for how long; it counts most) with the climate around the program; how the program talks joins as it is measured. Within continuity, quarterback-centered pairings count most because they held up when we tested them against results. How our ratings work →