Scorebook
Join
Teams / Sun Belt / Arkansas State
Index · this season
56
▲ Above its 5-year level +5
Career50since 1936
Peak791975
Last 551seasons
#102 nationally · 2-4 (0-2 conf)
Résumé #117 · better than its record
Schedule so far #102
Margin ±5 pts (tightens with games)
Why 56? →

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Sun Belt · Jonesboro, AR · Centennial Bank Stadium · Head coach Butch Jones
Rival
Established rivalry
18-29 all time (47 meetings since 1973)
Louisiana leads
Last: lost 23-20 (2026) · Louisiana has won 3 straight
Wants it back
program traits are earned from history
No recognized national titles since 1936. Counted: AP poll champion, a coaches-poll champion, or the BCS / playoff title-game winner; a split year counts for both.0national titles
Heisman Trophy winners0Heisman
Seasons finishing in the AP top 10 since 19360AP top-10
Consensus All-Americans since 19360All-Americans
NFL draft picks since 196722NFL picks
Winning percentage since 193645.2%win pct
History since 1936 · football since 1965. Every season →
Chemistry
Chem 55: typical55
Chem 56: typical
56Foundation
Chem 54: typical
54Gel
gel counts 45% so far
at its usual levelTrending up
early · #85 of 138
HC year6
Ret. starters46%
QB yrs w/ OC1
View chemistry →
Team chemistryearly · #85 of 138 FBS teams
Chem 56: typicalFoundation56+Chem 54: typicalGel54=Chem 55: typicalChem55Gel counts 45% so far (it grows as games are played, up to half)
Foundationwhat the program has built · moves over seasons
Foundation56Staff stability — Coach and coordinator tenure, staff who came along, assistant turnoverStaff stability62Roster continuity — Returning starters and the lineup's experienceRoster continuity65Unit cohesion — QB & coordinator, QB & receivers, offensive line, defense: how long each unit has played togetherUnit cohesion66Administration — Athletic director continuity and coach-AD alignmentAdministration30Investment — Commitment to football: its share of the department's spending and whether that is growing, plus spending and recruitingInvestment65Fan base — How passionate and loyal the fan base is: how often it sells out, and whether it sells out games that don't matterFan base32
ContinuityClimate
Continuity · who has played and coached togetherlive

Who has played and coached together, and for how long, ranked against every FBS team at the same point of the season.

▸Staff stability
Coach and coordinator tenure, staff who came along, assistant turnover
62
Staff cohesion69
HC year 6 · OC year 1 · DC year 2
Assistant turnover54
50% of on-field staff new this season (FBS average about 45%)
▸Roster continuity
Returning starters and the lineup's experience
65
Returning core74
45% of last season's starters · FBS median 32%
Experience56
11 career starts per starter · FBS median 12
▸Unit cohesion
QB & coordinator, QB & receivers, offensive line, defense: how long each unit has played together
66
QB & coordinator55
1st season together · same as 76% of FBS teams
QB & receivers75
5.5 games started together on average · FBS median 3.9
Line cohesion85
8.9 games per linemen pair · FBS median 5.2
Defensive cohesion51
3.9 games per defensive pair · FBS median 4.5
Climate · around the programlive

The administration, money and fans around the team: athletic director continuity, willingness to invest, and crowds.

▸Administration
Athletic director continuity and coach-AD alignment
30
AD continuity30
Chris Pezman · year 1 (Wikipedia, CC BY-SA)
▸Investment
Commitment to football: its share of the department's spending and whether that is growing, plus spending and recruiting
65
Football's share73
34% of department spending goes to football
Investment trend75
+56% over three years
Football investment39
$11.5M on football (2024-25 federal report)
Recruiting spend51
$0.73M men's recruiting
Department resources26
$34M athletic department revenue
▸Fan base
How passionate and loyal the fan base is: how often it sells out, and whether it sells out games that don't matter
32
Sellouts30
sellout crowds (95%+ of capacity) at 0 of 39 home games (last 8 seasons)
Sells out anyway34
sellout crowds at 0 of 28 games that didn't matter: cupcakes, or a team expected to lose or having a losing season

Finances: U.S. Department of Education athletics disclosures, as reported by each school. Athletic directors: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA). Attendance: reported crowds vs stadium capacity.

Gelhow it is working right now · moves week to week
Gel54Playing above its parts — Results vs what its preseason projection expected, game by gamePlaying above its parts47Settled & sharp — A settled starting lineup and clean execution (penalties, turnovers) vs its own normalSettled & sharp86Alignment — Coaches and players telling the same story; the staff on one pageAlignmentsoonResilience — Confidence, and how the team sounds after adversityResiliencesoonFan & media mood — Expectations met or missed this season (preseason rank vs now), stronger for fan bases that react hard; fan and media sentiment joins laterFan & media mood29Coach security — The hard-facts hot seat, inverted: results vs expectation, recent seasons vs the program's norm, stakes, a new ADCoach security29
InternalOn-field fitExternal
Internal · how the program talkscoming

How the team talks in press conferences and interviews, each program against its own normal, so a naturally terse coach isn't read as upset. Being built program by program, Big Ten first.

▸Alignment
Coaches and players telling the same story; the staff on one page
soon
Coming: measured from press conferences and interviews.
▸Resilience
Confidence, and how the team sounds after adversity
soon
Coming: measured from press conferences and interviews.

Readings are team-level; we don't publish psychological readings of individual players.

On-field fit · how it is playing togetherlive

How the team is playing together this season: beating or missing its preseason expectation, a settled lineup, clean execution.

▸Playing above its parts
Results vs what its preseason projection expected, game by game
47
This season47
-4 points a game vs its preseason projection (5 games)
▸Settled & sharp
A settled starting lineup and clean execution (penalties, turnovers) vs its own normal
86
This season86
94% of starters kept game to game
External · pressure from outsidelive

Pressure from outside the building: the hard-facts hot seat now; this season's fan and media mood as it is measured.

▸Fan & media mood
Expectations met or missed this season (preseason rank vs now), stronger for fan bases that react hard; fan and media sentiment joins later
29
This season29
outside the AP poll: projected #98 preseason -> #102 in our Index now · lost to rival Louisiana 23-20 (-10) · results 2-4 (-7, recent games count more) · projected for a bowl (6.8 wins preseason), now projects 5.4 (-10)
▸Coach security
The hard-facts hot seat, inverted: results vs expectation, recent seasons vs the program's norm, stakes, a new AD
29
This season29
Butch Jones, year 6 · 33% wins so far · -4.0 pts a game vs preseason expectation · last two seasons +8% vs the program's norm · new athletic director

Dashed gold ring = typical (62). 20-50 is the warning zone; under 10 is a collapse. Spokes with no data yet are dashed and left out until they fill in. Chem blends the two halves, then places the blend among this season's teams.

Trend · Foundationeach program year runs Feb 1 to the title game
'1653'1763'1861'1953'2058'2144'2251'2354'2470'2557'262016 wk 1 vs Toledo: 75 · L2016 wk 2 vs Auburn: 87 · L2016 wk 3 vs Utah State: 79 · L2016 wk 4 vs Central Arkansas: 63 · L2016 wk 6 vs Georgia Southern: 59 · W2016 wk 7 vs South Alabama: 54 · W2016 wk 9 vs UL Monroe: 57 · W2016 wk 10 vs Georgia State: 53 · W2016 wk 11 vs New Mexico State: 51 · W2016 wk 12 vs Troy: 48 · W2016 wk 13 vs Louisiana: 51 · L2016 wk 14 vs Texas State: 56 · W2016 wk 1 vs UCF: 53 · W2017 wk 3 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 56 · W2017 wk 4 vs SMU: 56 · L2017 wk 6 vs Georgia Southern: 56 · W2017 wk 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 56 · W2017 wk 8 vs Louisiana: 59 · W2017 wk 9 vs New Mexico State: 59 · W2017 wk 11 vs South Alabama: 60 · L2017 wk 12 vs Texas State: 60 · W2017 wk 13 vs UL Monroe: 61 · W2017 wk 14 vs Troy: 61 · L2017 wk 1 vs Middle Tennessee: 63 · L2018 wk 3 vs Tulsa: 61 · W2018 wk 4 vs UNLV: 61 · W2018 wk 5 vs Georgia Southern: 62 · L2018 wk 7 vs App State: 64 · L2018 wk 8 vs Georgia State: 64 · W2018 wk 9 vs Louisiana: 63 · L2018 wk 10 vs South Alabama: 62 · W2018 wk 11 vs Coastal Carolina: 61 · W2018 wk 12 vs UL Monroe: 63 · W2018 wk 13 vs Texas State: 63 · W2018 wk 1 vs Nevada: 61 · L2019 wk 2 vs UNLV: 47 · W2019 wk 3 vs Georgia: 47 · L2019 wk 4 vs Southern Illinois: 55 · W2019 wk 5 vs Troy: 54 · W2019 wk 6 vs Georgia State: 43 · L2019 wk 8 vs Louisiana: 42 · L2019 wk 9 vs Texas State: 54 · W2019 wk 10 vs UL Monroe: 54 · W2019 wk 12 vs Coastal Carolina: 56 · W2019 wk 13 vs Georgia Southern: 58 · W2019 wk 14 vs South Alabama: 56 · L2019 wk 1 vs Florida International: 53 · W2020 wk 2 vs Kansas State: 65 · W2020 wk 5 vs Coastal Carolina: 59 · L2020 wk 6 vs Central Arkansas: 63 · W2020 wk 7 vs Georgia State: 66 · W2020 wk 8 vs App State: 66 · L2020 wk 9 vs Troy: 66 · L2020 wk 10 vs Louisiana: 66 · L2020 wk 12 vs Texas State: 61 · L2020 wk 13 vs South Alabama: 59 · L2020 wk 14 vs UL Monroe: 58 · W2021 wk 2 vs Memphis: 40 · L2021 wk 3 vs Washington: 42 · L2021 wk 4 vs Tulsa: 42 · L2021 wk 5 vs Georgia Southern: 41 · L2021 wk 6 vs Coastal Carolina: 43 · L2021 wk 8 vs Louisiana: 45 · L2021 wk 9 vs South Alabama: 41 · L2021 wk 10 vs App State: 45 · L2021 wk 11 vs UL Monroe: 43 · W2021 wk 12 vs Georgia State: 44 · L2021 wk 13 vs Texas State: 44 · L2022 wk 2 vs Ohio State: 48 · L2022 wk 3 vs Memphis: 51 · L2022 wk 4 vs Old Dominion: 51 · L2022 wk 5 vs UL Monroe: 44 · W2022 wk 6 vs James Madison: 47 · L2022 wk 7 vs Southern Miss: 50 · L2022 wk 8 vs Louisiana: 52 · L2022 wk 9 vs South Alabama: 46 · L2022 wk 11 vs Massachusetts: 48 · W2022 wk 12 vs Texas State: 52 · L2022 wk 13 vs Troy: 51 · L2023 wk 2 vs Memphis: 58 · L2023 wk 3 vs Stony Brook: 57 · W2023 wk 4 vs Southern Miss: 53 · W2023 wk 5 vs Massachusetts: 54 · W2023 wk 6 vs Troy: 55 · L2023 wk 8 vs Coastal Carolina: 56 · L2023 wk 9 vs UL Monroe: 58 · W2023 wk 10 vs Louisiana: 58 · W2023 wk 11 vs South Alabama: 57 · L2023 wk 12 vs Texas State: 57 · W2023 wk 13 vs Marshall: 58 · L2023 wk 1 vs Northern Illinois: 54 · L2024 wk 2 vs Tulsa: 67 · W2024 wk 3 vs Michigan: 68 · L2024 wk 4 vs Iowa State: 69 · L2024 wk 6 vs South Alabama: 69 · W2024 wk 7 vs Texas State: 70 · L2024 wk 8 vs Southern Miss: 69 · W2024 wk 9 vs Troy: 70 · W2024 wk 11 vs Louisiana: 69 · L2024 wk 12 vs Georgia State: 69 · W2024 wk 13 vs UL Monroe: 70 · W2024 wk 14 vs Old Dominion: 70 · L2024 wk 1 vs Bowling Green: 70 · W2025 wk 2 vs Arkansas: 56 · L2025 wk 3 vs Iowa State: 58 · L2025 wk 4 vs Kennesaw State: 57 · L2025 wk 5 vs UL Monroe: 58 · L2025 wk 6 vs Texas State: 59 · W2025 wk 8 vs South Alabama: 56 · W2025 wk 9 vs Georgia Southern: 59 · W2025 wk 10 vs Troy: 59 · W2025 wk 11 vs Southern Miss: 59 · L2025 wk 13 vs Louisiana: 58 · L2025 wk 14 vs App State: 58 · W2025 wk 1 vs Missouri State: 57 · W2026 wk 2 vs West Georgia: 50 · W2026 wk 3 vs TCU: 51 · L2026 wk 4 vs Kennesaw State: 56 · W2026 wk 5 vs Louisiana: 56 · L2026 wk 6 vs South Alabama: 56 · L2026 wk 7 vs Southern Miss: 56 · next gametypical 62

Every game since 2016, one continuous line; thin rules separate seasons and the chip is where each season finished. Navy dot = win, red = loss. Big drops usually mean a new staff, a new quarterback or a rebuilt line.

Trend · Gelthis season, after each game
typical 62wk 1 · on-field 37 · fan mood 44401wk 2 vs West Georgia · W · on-field 65 · fan mood 54612wk 3 vs TCU · L · on-field 77 · fan mood 44643wk 4 vs Kennesaw State · W · on-field 80 · fan mood 49684wk 5 vs Louisiana · L · on-field 86 · fan mood 40695wk 6 vs South Alabama · L · on-field 78 · fan mood 28596

How the team is working right now, rebuilt after each game from only the games so far: on-field fit (results vs preseason expectation, lineup settling, execution) and that week's fan & media mood. Coach security is part of today's Gel number but isn't rebuilt week by week yet. Navy frame = win, red = loss.

Continuity facts
Head coach
Year 6
at this school
Offensive coordinator
Year 1
new this season
Defensive coordinator
Year 2
at this school
HC & OC together
1 seasons
working together
QB with his OC
1 seasons
same play-caller
QB & receivers
5.5 games
started together, average
Offensive line pairs
8.9 games
started together, average
Returning starters
45%
from last season
Starter experience
11 starts
career average
Internal facts
Pressers read
soon
this season, coaches and players
Coach tone
soon
vs his own normal
"We" vs "I"
soon
share of team language
Owning mistakes
soon
vs pointing outward
Same story
soon
coaches and players agree
After losses
soon
how fast tone recovers
Leaders named
soon
players teammates point to
Newcomers
soon
transfers talked about as part of it
Openness
soon
forthcoming vs guarded
Measured from press conferences and interviews, program by program.
Climate facts
Athletic director
Chris Pezman
year 1
Football spending
$11.5M
2024-25 federal report
Spending trend
+56%
over three years
Department revenue
$34M
all sports
Recruiting spend
$0.73M
men's teams
Home crowds
—
of capacity
Staff turnover
50%
on-field staff new this season
Fan mood
soon
fans and local media
Coach & AD
soon
on the same page
Finances: U.S. Department of Education athletics disclosures. Athletic directors: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).
Offense · games started togetherlatest lineup · 11 starters
Owens
Baggett
Bonelli
Summers
Little
Burgess
Saxton
Myers
Smith
Itete
Wiggins
QBTrey Owens63666466666
RBSolomon Baggett33333133333
WRJaylen Bonelli63866488766
WRHunter Summers636178517161466
TETyler Little636813488866
TEEzra Burgess41454555544
OLWil Saxton638178519181566
OLMason Myers638168518191466
OLTristian Smith637148515141666
OLManasse Itete63666466666
OLSterling Wiggins63666466666

Each square: games the two players have started together at this school (darker = more). Gray diagonal: the player's own starts here.

Defense · games started togetherlatest lineup · 11 starters
Carter
Reese
Johnson
Grant
Moore
McGhee
Greil
Henderson
Shahid
Flores
Drew
DLTony Carter66152626666
DLRyan Reese66152626666
DLJakohri Johnson11111111111
DLTJ Grant55152515555
LBKam Moore22122212222
DBAG McGhee66152191066611
DBBrandon Greil2211110112222
DBDontrae Henderson66152626666
DBMakai Shahid66152626666
DBNoah Flores66152626666
DBJoe Drew6615211266611

Each square: games the two players have started together at this school (darker = more). Gray diagonal: the player's own starts here.

Chemistry is Scorebook's own rating of how well a program fits together, on the same all-time 0-99 scale as our other ratings (compared with every FBS team since 2016; 62 is typical, 20-50 signals something is wrong, and single digits are reserved for true collapses; each season is compared with its own era). This early version blends continuity (who has played and coached together, and for how long; it counts most) with the climate around the program; how the program talks joins as it is measured. Within continuity, quarterback-centered pairings count most because they held up when we tested them against results. How our ratings work →