Building rivalry
Week 10 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Murfreesboro, TN · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Western Kentucky 12 – 6 Middle Tennessee
18 since 2007 · WKU 7 straight
Last 2025 Western Kentucky 42–26
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Western Kentucky is favored: 57% to win, by about 3 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 57%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | Western Kentucky by 2.7 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
Western KentuckyvsMiddle Tennessee
71
WR
66 rec · 618 yds · 3 TD
WR
MTSU +778
WR
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
73
LB
29 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
WKU +172
LB
11 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0 sacks
78
DB
54 tkl · 0 INT · 1 PD
DB
WKU +969
CB
5 tkl · 0 INT · 1 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.