Week 8 · ESPN2 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Huntsville, TX · Forecast TBA
All-time series
New Mexico State 2 – 1 Sam Houston
3 since 2023
Last 2025 New Mexico State 37–10
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Sam Houston is favored: 52% to win, by about 1 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 52%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | Sam Houston by 0.6 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
New Mexico StatevsSam Houston
83
DE
25 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
DL
NMSU +1271
DT
6 tkl · 1 sacks · 1.5 TFL
77
LB
28 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
LB
NMSU +374
LB
9 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.