Week 7 · CBSSN · Plaster Sports Complex
Springfield, MO · 76° · 8 mph
All-time series
Kennesaw State 2 – 0 Missouri State
2 since 2019 · KENN 2 straight
Last 2025 Kennesaw State 41–34
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Kennesaw State is favored: 57% to win, by about 3 points.
Betting markets like Kennesaw State a bit more (60%, by 3).
Our model 57%Market 60%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | Kennesaw State by 2.8 |
| Betting market | 60% | Kennesaw State by 3 |
| Difference | 3 pts | 0.2 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Kennesaw StatevsMissouri State
79
DL
9 tkl · 3 sacks · 5 TFL
DL
KENN +772
DE
6 tkl · 0 sacks · 0 TFL
72
LB
35 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 4 sacks
LB
even72
LB
60 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Kennesaw State -3, now -3: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.