Established rivalry
Week 10 · Centennial Bank Stadium
Jonesboro, AR · Forecast TBA
All-time series
UL Monroe 9 – 26 Arkansas State
35 since 1974
Last 2025 UL Monroe 28–16
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Arkansas State is favored: 84% to win, by about 16 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 84%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 84% | Arkansas State by 15.5 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
UL MonroevsArkansas State
69
LB
11 tkl · 2 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
ARST +271
LB
26 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.