Week 12 · Peden Stadium
Athens, OH · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Ball State 16 – 13 Ohio
29 since 1975
Last 2025 Ball State 20–14
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Ohio is favored: 87% to win, by about 17 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 87%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 87% | Ohio by 17.3 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
Ball StatevsOhio
73
LB
31 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
OHIO +1083
LB
50 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.