Week 11 · Scheumann Stadium
Muncie, IN · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Buffalo 3 – 11 Ball State
14 since 1969
Last 2024 Buffalo 51–48
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Buffalo is favored: 57% to win, by about 3 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 57%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | Buffalo by 2.6 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
BuffalovsBall State
79
WR
34 rec · 417 yds · 6 TD
WR
BUF +1267
WR
19 rec · 196 yds · 2 TD
80
EDGE
15 tkl · 2 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
BUF +1367
DE
14 tkl · 0 sacks · 0 TFL
73
LB
49 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
even73
LB
31 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.