Week 10 · Hornet Stadium
Sacramento, CA · Forecast TBA
All-time series
First meeting
First meeting on file.
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Toledo is favored: 77% to win, by about 12 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 77%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | Toledo by 11.5 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
ToledovsSacramento State
63
QB
1,565 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
QB
TOL +954
QB
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
75
WR
27 rec · 402 yds · 4 TD
WR
TOL +174
WR
32 rec · 454 yds · 4 TD
86
DE
32 tkl · 5 sacks · 8 TFL
DL
TOL +1571
DL
4 tkl · 1 sacks · 1 TFL
78
LB
44 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
TOL +870
LB
26 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.