As of kickoff
Week 6 · ESPN+ · Glass Bowl
Toledo, OH · 72° Cloudy · 2 mph
All-time series
Buffalo 6 – 6 Toledo
12 since 1970 · BUF 2 straight
Last 2026 Buffalo 23–8
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Toledo · missed.
We
Toledo by 21.4
Close
Toledo by 18.8
Final
Buffalo by 15
Winner
missed
Missed — the winner — we had Toledo; the number — market was closer (34 pts off vs our 36); the margin (final Buffalo by 15, we had Toledo by 21.4).
Buffalo
23
Final
Buffalo won
Toledo
8
How it was won
- 1.Burch rush right for 87 yards gain to the TOLEDO00, touchdown
- 2.Buffalo converted 8 of 21 third downs; Toledo went 3 of 14.
- 3.Toledo turned it over 3 times; Buffalo did not.
The Matchup
BuffalovsToledo
59
QB
253 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
QB
TOL +463
QB
1,565 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
79
WR
34 rec · 417 yds · 6 TD
WR
BUF +475
WR
27 rec · 402 yds · 4 TD
80
EDGE
15 tkl · 2 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
TOL +686
DE
32 tkl · 5 sacks · 8 TFL
73
LB
49 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
TOL +578
LB
44 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Toledo -20, now -20: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.