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Games / Week 11 / UNLV @ New Mexico
60
Away
Rebels
#83 · 4-2
Week 11 · CW; The CW Network · University Stadium (NM)
Albuquerque, NM · Forecast TBA
All-time series
UNLV 15 – 13 New Mexico
28 since 1978
Last 2025 New Mexico 40–35
70
Lobos
#45 · 4-1
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

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Model vs market

New Mexico is favored: 81% to win, by about 14 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 81%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model81%New Mexico by 13.8
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

UNLVvsNew Mexico
61
QB
1,145 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
QB
UNLV +3
58
QB
2,486 yds · 13 TD · 10 INT
73
RB
495 yds · 2 TD · 14 rec
RB
UNLV +3
70
RB
205 yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
64
WR
15 rec · 280 yds · 2 TD
WR
UNM +7
71
WR
11 rec · 218 yds · 3 TD
62
TE
11 rec · 123 yds · 1 TD
TE
UNM +16
78
TE
14 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD
65
OL
OL
UNM +10
75
OL
DL
UNM +5
82
DE
17 tkl · 3 sacks · 5 TFL
73
LB
9 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
UNM +5
78
LB
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.