Week 10 · CBSSN · Mackay Stadium
Reno, NV · Forecast TBA
All-time series
New Mexico 4 – 6 Nevada
11 since 1941 · 1 tie
Last 2025 New Mexico 24–22
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
New Mexico is favored: 78% to win, by about 12 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 78%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | New Mexico by 12.1 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
New MexicovsNevada
78
LB
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
UNM +474
LB
60 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
82
S
18 tkl · 2 INT · 2 PD
DB
UNM +874
DB
20 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.