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Games / Week 4 / Air Force @ Nevada
59
Away
Falcons
#90 · 1-1
As of kickoff
Week 4 · FS1 · Mackay Stadium
Reno, NV · 64° Cloudy · 2 mph
All-time series
Air Force 7 – 2 Nevada
9 since 2012 · AF 4 straight
Last 2026 Air Force 36–33
54
Wolf Pack
#113 · 1-2
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Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Air Force · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
Air Force by 3.3
Close
Air Force by 5.3
Final
Air Force by 3
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (Air Force); closer than the market (0 pts off vs 2); the number, within a score.

Air Force
36
Final
Air Force won
Nevada
33
How it was won
  1. 1.Szarka rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Nevada00, touchdown
  2. 2.Air Force converted 8 of 18 third downs; Nevada went 5 of 15.
  3. 3.Air Force still won after 1 turnover; Nevada had 0.

The Matchup

Air ForcevsNevada
84
QB
296 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT
QB
AF +26
58
QB
136 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
69
RB
215 yds · 1 TD · 2 rec
RB
NEV +8
77
RB
440 yds · 4 TD · 7 rec
71
WR
3 rec · 39 yds · 0 TD
WR
AF +15
56
WR
6 rec · 121 yds · 1 TD
56
TE
6 rec · 103 yds · 0 TD
TE
NEV +4
60
TE
6 rec · 42 yds · 1 TD
68
DL
3 tkl · 1 sacks · 1 TFL
DL
NEV +13
81
EDGE
42 tkl · 1 sacks · 2.5 TFL
72
LB
29 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
NEV +2
74
LB
60 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
71
DB
18 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
DB
NEV +3
74
DB
20 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Air Force -4.3, now -4.3: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.