As of kickoff
Week 3 · ESPN+ · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Murfreesboro, TN · 95° Heavy Rain Shower · 0 mph · rain
All-time series
Nevada 0 – 2 Middle Tennessee
2 since 2025 · MTSU 2 straight
Last 2026 Middle Tennessee 27–20
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Nevada · missed.
We
Nevada by 2.3
Close
Nevada by 3.8
Final
Middle Tennessee by 7
Winner
missed
Got right — closer than the market (9 pts off vs 11).
Missed — the winner — we had Nevada.
Nevada
20
Final
Middle Tennessee won
Middle Tennessee
27
How it was won
- 1.Gagliano pass complete deep middle to Perdue caught at Nev00, for 23 yards to the Nev00, touchdown
- 2.Middle Tennessee converted 4 of 15 third downs; Nevada went 5 of 13.
- 3.Nevada turned it over 3 times; Middle Tennessee did not.
The Matchup
NevadavsMiddle Tennessee
56
WR
6 rec · 121 yds · 1 TD
WR
MTSU +2278
WR
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
74
LB
60 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
LB
NEV +272
LB
11 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Nevada -6, now -6: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.