Heated rivalry
Week 15 · CBS · Neutral · MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Navy 63 – 55 Army
125 since 1891 · 7 ties · NAVY 2 straight
Last 2025 Navy 17–16
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Army is favored: 51% to win, by about 0 points.
Betting markets like Navy instead (56%, by 2.5).
Our model 51%Market 56%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | Army by 0.3 |
| Betting market | 56% | Navy by 2.5 |
| Difference | 5 pts | 2.8 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 49% of the time (891 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
NavyvsArmy
80
LB
37 tkl · 6 TFL · 4 sacks
LB
NAVY +1169
LB
37 tkl · 2 TFL · 0.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Navy -2.5, now -2.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.