Week 12 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Annapolis, MD · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Memphis 6 – 5 Navy
11 since 2015 · NAVY 2 straight
Last 2025 Navy 28–17
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Memphis is favored: 61% to win, by about 4 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 61%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | Memphis by 4.1 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
MemphisvsNavy
79
QB
1,535 yds · 16 TD · 3 INT
QB
MEM +1564
QB
439 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
83
RB
645 yds · 8 TD · 4 rec
RB
MEM +1865
RB
208 yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
87
TE
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
TE
MEM +3453
TE
0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD
75
LB
34 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
NAVY +580
LB
37 tkl · 6 TFL · 4 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.