Week 11 · Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, FL · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Memphis 10 – 4 South Florida
14 since 2001 · MEM 5 straight
Last 2025 Memphis 34–31
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Memphis is favored: 54% to win, by about 1 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 54%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | Memphis by 1.4 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
MemphisvsSouth Florida
79
QB
1,535 yds · 16 TD · 3 INT
QB
MEM +2257
QB
1,497 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83
RB
645 yds · 8 TD · 4 rec
RB
MEM +776
RB
476 yds · 7 TD · 7 rec
87
TE
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
TE
MEM +2859
TE
6 rec · 69 yds · 0 TD
83
DL
19 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
MEM +479
DE
15 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
75
LB
34 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
MEM +273
LB
30 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.