Week 9 · Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, FL · Forecast TBA
All-time series
UAB 2 – 3 South Florida
5 since 2003 · USF 2 straight
Last 2025 South Florida 48–18
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
South Florida is favored: 83% to win, by about 15 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 83%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 83% | South Florida by 14.8 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
UABvsSouth Florida
76
DL
13 tkl · 3 sacks · 6.5 TFL
DL
USF +379
DE
15 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
76
LB
25 tkl · 8 TFL · 5 sacks
LB
UAB +373
LB
30 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.