Week 7 · ESPN+ · Rice Stadium
Houston, TX · 90° · 6 mph
All-time series
Tulsa 10 – 9 Rice
20 since 1937 · 1 tie · RICE 2 straight
Last 2023 Rice 42–10
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Tulsa is favored: 58% to win, by about 3 points.
Betting markets like Tulsa a bit more (63%, by 4.3).
Our model 58%Market 63%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | Tulsa by 3.2 |
| Betting market | 63% | Tulsa by 4.3 |
| Difference | 5 pts | 1 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
TulsavsRice
87
DL
25 tkl · 4 sacks · 7.5 TFL
DL
TLSA +1572
DL
12 tkl · 2 sacks · 2 TFL
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Tulsa -3.5, now -4.3: moved 0.8 points toward Tulsa
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.