Week 7 · ESPN+ · Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, PA · 62° Fair · 14 mph
All-time series
Charlotte 0 – 3 Temple
3 since 2015 · TEM 3 straight
Last 2025 Temple 49–14
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Temple is favored: 88% to win, by about 18 points.
Betting markets like Temple a bit more (91%, by 21.3).
Our model 88%Market 91%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 88% | Temple by 17.8 |
| Betting market | 91% | Temple by 21.3 |
| Difference | 3 pts | 3.4 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 49% of the time (891 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
CharlottevsTemple
73
LB
46 tkl · 5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
LB
CLT +568
LB
53 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Temple -23.3, now -21.3: moved 2 points toward Charlotte
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.