Week 7 · CBSSN · Michie Stadium
West Point, NY · 52° · 18 mph
All-time series
Florida Atlantic 0 – 1 Army
1 since 2024
Last 2024 Army 24–7
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Army is favored: 61% to win, by about 4 points.
Betting markets like Army a bit less (57%, by 2.8).
Our model 61%Market 57%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | Army by 4.4 |
| Betting market | 57% | Army by 2.8 |
| Difference | 4 pts | 1.6 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Florida AtlanticvsArmy
85
WR
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
WR
FAU +2461
WR
7 rec · 73 yds · 0 TD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Army -3, now -2.8: moved 0.3 points toward Florida Atlantic
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.