As of kickoff
Week 1 · ESPN+ · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Memphis, TN · 97° Fair · 4 mph
All-time series
Arkansas State 8 – 21 Memphis
32 since 1953 · 3 ties · MEM 6 straight
Last 2026 Memphis 42–24
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Memphis · hit.
We
Memphis by 13.2
Close
Memphis by 10.5
Final
Memphis by 18
Winner
hit
Got right — the winner (Memphis); closer than the market (5 pts off vs 8); the number, within a score.
Arkansas State
24
Final
Memphis won
Memphis
42
How it was won
- 1.Carter rush middle for 74 yards, touchdown
- 2.Memphis converted 5 of 9 third downs; Arkansas State went 5 of 10.
- 3.Arkansas State lost the turnover battle 4-2.
The Matchup
Arkansas StatevsMemphis
68
QB
1,461 yds · 9 TD · 6 INT
QB
MEM +1179
QB
1,535 yds · 16 TD · 3 INT
67
RB
239 yds · 2 TD · 7 rec
RB
MEM +1683
RB
645 yds · 8 TD · 4 rec
54
TE
0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD
TE
MEM +3387
TE
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
71
LB
26 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
MEM +475
LB
34 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Memphis -10.5, now -10.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.