Week 12 · USA Net · Albertsons Stadium
Boise, ID · Forecast TBA
All-time series
San Diego State 5 – 6 Boise State
11 since 2011
Last 2025 San Diego State 17–7
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Boise State is favored: 93% to win, by about 22 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 93%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 93% | Boise State by 22.4 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
San Diego StatevsBoise State
53
QB
66 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
QB
BOIS +2578
QB
1,296 yds · 13 TD · 0 INT
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.