Heated rivalry
Week 7 · USA Net · Reser Stadium
Corvallis, OR · 62° · 4 mph
All-time series
Washington State 56 – 44 Oregon State
103 since 1916 · 3 ties
Last 2025 Washington State 32–8
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Oregon State is favored: 87% to win, by about 18 points.
Betting markets agree (87%, by 17.5).
Our model 87%Market 87%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 87% | Oregon State by 17.6 |
| Betting market | 87% | Oregon State by 17.5 |
| Difference | 0 pts | 0.1 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Washington StatevsOregon State
59
WR
15 rec · 196 yds · 2 TD
WR
ORST +3695
WR
38 rec · 932 yds · 12 TD
73
LB
36 tkl · 1 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
ORST +1083
LB
31 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.5 sacks
79
S
24 tkl · 2 INT · 1 PD
DB
WSU +277
DB
19 tkl · 1 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Oregon State -17.3, now -17.5: moved 0.3 points toward Oregon State
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.