Illinois at Northwestern

Games / Week 13 / Illinois @ Northwestern

Away

Illinois

Fighting Illini

#56 · 3-3

Heated rivalry

Week 13 · Ryan Field

Evanston, IL · Forecast TBA

All-time series

Illinois 59 – 55 Northwestern

119 since 1892 · 5 ties · ILL 2 straight

Last 2025 Illinois 20–13

Northwestern

Wildcats

#31 · 4-1

Home

Indexfull →

Chemistryfull →

Staff

hcBret Bielema78

ocBarry Lunney Jr.76

dcBobby Hauck

Injuries

B10 availability report · week 6 at Michigan State

Alex Perry WR #9Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

BJ Thurman TE #87Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Jack Paris LB #38Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

TJ McMillen OL #55Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Carter Smith LB #48Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Ca'Lil Valentine RB #5Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Kai Pritchard OL #53Out

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Doubtful → Game day: Out

Champ Smith OL #52Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Probable → Update 2: Probable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Jayshon Platt WR #1Game Time Decision

Initial: Probable → Update 1: Probable → Update 2: Probable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Tywan Cox DB #32Game Time Decision

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Probable → Update 2: Probable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Regulars missing from recent box scores

Christian Martin OL · 5 startsMissed last game

Conference reports cover ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC conference games. Return timelines from coaches' comments are coming.

Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Northwestern is favored: 71% to win, by about 9 points.

Betting markets like Illinois instead (61%, by 3.5).

Our model 71%Market 61%

	Win chance	Expected margin
Our model	71%	Northwestern by 8.6
Betting market	61%	Illinois by 3.5
Difference▲	10 pts	12.1 pts

Gaps this large have landed on our side 59% of the time (183 games, 2019–2024): where our line has historically held up. Track record →

The Matchup

IllinoisvsNorthwestern

Katin Houser

1,440 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT

NU +10

Aidan Chiles

1,172 yds · 9 TD · 0 INT

Ball Guardian Surgeon

Aidan Laughery

391 yds · 1 TD · 8 rec

NU +3

Caleb Komolafe

334 yds · 3 TD · 7 rec

Collin Dixon ★

47 rec · 608 yds · 9 TD

Red Zone Threat Target Magnet

ILL +5

Griffin Wilde

24 rec · 425 yds · 3 TD

Christian Abney

3 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD

NU +14

Alex Honig

9 rec · 145 yds · 2 TD

6 starts

ILL +6

5 starts

10 tkl · 0 sacks · 0.5 TFL

NU +7

Michael Kilbane

17 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL

Will Holmes

15 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 sacks

NU +10

Braydon Brus

37 tkl · 9 TFL · 3 sacks

Backfield Wrecker Ball Hawk

Juice Clarke

26 tkl · 0 INT · 5 PD

NU +17

Robert Fitzgerald

45 tkl · 2 INT · 2 PD

Tackling Machine Turnover Maker

Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.

Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Illinois -3.5, now -3.5: unchanged

Model track record

A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.

Indexfull →

Chemistryfull →

Staff

hcDavid Braun70

ocChip Kelly87

dcTim McGarigle67

Injuries

B10 availability report · week 5 vs. Penn State

Braden Turner DB #9Out

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Doubtful → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Callen Campbell DL #44Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Chris Petrucci TE #81Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

David Anchondo OL #61Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Ezomo Oratokhai OL #62Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Glory Stephen-Wangboje DL #93Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Jacob Miller OL #79Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Jason Reynolds II LB #40Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Max Mohring LB #37Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Migo Jackson DL #88Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Qayvier Johnson LB #50Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Seth Valeri DB #11Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Tom McGlinchey TE #85Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Jaden McDuffie WR #82Out

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Josh Fussell DB #13Out

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Luke Dehnicke TE #84Out

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Doubtful → Game day: Out

Chase Farrell WR #20Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Damon Walters DB #21Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Doubtful → Game day: Game Time Decision

Hayden Eligon II WR #8Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Probable → Update 2: Probable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Nigel Glover LB #42Game Time Decision

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Troy Regovich DL #99Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Conference reports cover ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC conference games. Return timelines from coaches' comments are coming.