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Games / Week 12 / Iowa @ Illinois
78
Away
Iowa
Hawkeyes
#21 · 5-1
Week 12 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Champaign, IL · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Iowa 38 – 39 Illinois
79 since 1899 · 2 ties
Last 2023 Iowa 15–13
68
Illinois
Fighting Illini
#56 · 3-3
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Iowa is favored: 64% to win, by about 5 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 64%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model64%Iowa by 5.4
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

IowavsIllinois
65
QB
Hank Brown
832 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
QB
ILL +8
73
QB
Katin Houser
1,440 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
80
RB
Kamari Moulton
519 yds · 4 TD · 9 rec
RB
IOWA +8
72
RB
Aidan Laughery
391 yds · 1 TD · 8 rec
73
WR
Reece Vander Zee
16 rec · 247 yds · 3 TD
WR
ILL +17
90
WR
★Collin Dixon
47 rec · 608 yds · 9 TD
1.50 TDs per gameRed Zone Threat10.2 targets per gameTarget Magnet
79
TE
DJ Vonnahme
18 rec · 219 yds · 2 TD
TE
IOWA +19
60
TE
Christian Abney
3 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD
77
OL
Trevor Lauck
6 starts
OL
ILL +2
79
OL
Jake Renfro
6 starts
42 career startsIron Man
77
DL
Bryce Hawthorne
19 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
DL
IOWA +6
71
DL
Carter Janki
10 tkl · 0 sacks · 0.5 TFL
80
LB
Cam Buffington
52 tkl · 5 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
IOWA +4
76
LB
Will Holmes
15 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 sacks
80
DB
Zach Lutmer
34 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
DB
IOWA +11
69
DB
Juice Clarke
26 tkl · 0 INT · 5 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.