Week 8 · Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Michigan State 3 – 4 UCLA
7 since 1953 · UCLA 3 straight
Last 2025 UCLA 38–13
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
UCLA is favored: 85% to win, by about 16 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 85%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 85% | UCLA by 15.9 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
Michigan StatevsUCLA
65
RB
254 yds · 5 TD · 4 rec
RB
UCLA +2590
RB
548 yds · 10 TD · 11 rec
73
LB
25 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
UCLA +1588
LB
40 tkl · 7 TFL · 3 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.