Week 7 · Fox · Ross-Ade Stadium
West Lafayette, IN · 54° · 10 mph
All-time series
Washington 8 – 2 Purdue
11 since 1961 · 1 tie
Last 2025 Washington 49–13
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Purdue is favored: 60% to win, by about 4 points.
Betting markets agree (59%, by 3.5).
Our model 60%Market 59%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | Purdue by 3.9 |
| Betting market | 59% | Purdue by 3.5 |
| Difference | 1 pts | 0.4 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
WashingtonvsPurdue
76
LB
34 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
LB
WASH +175
LB
33 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
84
S
41 tkl · 2 INT · 3 PD
DB
WASH +1470
DB
31 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Purdue -2.8, now -3.5: moved 0.8 points toward Purdue
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.