Northwestern at Michigan State

Games / Week 7 / Northwestern @ Michigan State

Away

Northwestern

Wildcats

#31 · 4-1

Week 7 · Peacock · Spartan Stadium

East Lansing, MI · 51° · 6 mph

All-time series

Northwestern 19 – 41 Michigan State

60 since 1905 · MSU 3 straight

Last 2021 Michigan State 38–21

Michigan State

Spartans

#55 · 2-4

Home

Indexfull →

Chemistryfull →

Staff

hcDavid Braun70

ocChip Kelly87

dcTim McGarigle67

Injuries

B10 availability report · week 5 vs. Penn State

Braden Turner DB #9Out

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Doubtful → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Callen Campbell DL #44Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Chris Petrucci TE #81Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

David Anchondo OL #61Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Ezomo Oratokhai OL #62Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Glory Stephen-Wangboje DL #93Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Jacob Miller OL #79Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Jason Reynolds II LB #40Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Max Mohring LB #37Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Migo Jackson DL #88Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Qayvier Johnson LB #50Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Seth Valeri DB #11Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Tom McGlinchey TE #85Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Jaden McDuffie WR #82Out

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Josh Fussell DB #13Out

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Luke Dehnicke TE #84Out

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Doubtful → Game day: Out

Chase Farrell WR #20Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Damon Walters DB #21Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Doubtful → Game day: Game Time Decision

Hayden Eligon II WR #8Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Probable → Update 2: Probable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Nigel Glover LB #42Game Time Decision

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Troy Regovich DL #99Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Conference reports cover ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC conference games. Return timelines from coaches' comments are coming.

Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Northwestern is favored: 62% to win, by about 5 points.

Betting markets like Northwestern a bit more (74%, by 7.5).

Our model 62%Market 74%

	Win chance	Expected margin
Our model	62%	Northwestern by 4.7
Betting market	74%	Northwestern by 7.5
Difference	12 pts	2.8 pts

Gaps this small have landed on our side 49% of the time (891 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →

The Matchup

NorthwesternvsMichigan State

Aidan Chiles

1,172 yds · 9 TD · 0 INT

Ball Guardian Surgeon

NU +19

Alessio Milivojevic

1,047 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT

Caleb Komolafe

334 yds · 3 TD · 7 rec

NU +10

Jaziun Patterson

254 yds · 5 TD · 4 rec

Griffin Wilde

24 rec · 425 yds · 3 TD

NU +22

Rodney Bullard Jr.

19 rec · 242 yds · 1 TD

Alex Honig

9 rec · 145 yds · 2 TD

NU +5

Jayden Savoury

23 rec · 228 yds · 0 TD

Jackson Carsello

5 starts

NU +4

Robert Wright Jr.

0 starts

Michael Kilbane

17 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL

MSU +1

Eli Coenen

14 tkl · 3 sacks · 4 TFL

Braydon Brus

37 tkl · 9 TFL · 3 sacks

Backfield Wrecker Ball Hawk

NU +13

Jordan Hall

25 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks

Robert Fitzgerald

45 tkl · 2 INT · 2 PD

Tackling Machine Turnover Maker

NU +15

Tre Bell

16 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD

Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.

Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Northwestern -8.5, now -7.5: moved one point toward Michigan State

Model track record

A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.

Indexfull →

Chemistryfull →

Staff

hcPat Fitzgerald66

ocNick Sheridan52

dcJoe Rossi66

Injuries

B10 availability report · week 6 vs. Illinois

Jay Coyne FB #44Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Joe Caudill TE #87Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Tristan Comer OL #79Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Tyran Chappell CB #22Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Cam Edwards RB #0Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Keshawn Williams CB #20Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

NiJhay Burt CB #0Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Caleb Wheatland LB #44Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Cam Fancher QB #2Out

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Out

Darrin Jones Jr. RB #27Out

Initial: Doubtful → Update 1: Doubtful → Update 2: Doubtful → Game day: Out

Conference reports cover ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC conference games. Return timelines from coaches' comments are coming.