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Games / Week 7 / Rutgers @ Maryland
58
Away
Scarlet Knights
#91 · 1-4
Building rivalry
Week 7 · BTN · SECU Stadium
College Park, MD · 65° Cloudy · 12 mph
All-time series
Rutgers 9 – 12 Maryland
21 since 1920 · RUTG 2 straight
Last 2025 Rutgers 35–20
64
Terrapins
#74 · 2-4
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Maryland is favored: 72% to win, by about 9 points.

Betting markets like Maryland a bit less (64%, by 4.5).

Our model 72%Market 64%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model72%Maryland by 8.9
Betting market64%Maryland by 4.5
Difference8 pts4.4 pts

Gaps this size have landed on our side 54% of the time (613 games, 2019–2024): where our line has historically held up. Track record →

The Matchup

RutgersvsMaryland
67
QB
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
QB
RUTG +4
63
QB
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79
RB
469 yds · 4 TD · 9 rec
RB
RUTG +13
66
RB
242 yds · 3 TD · 5 rec
61
TE
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
TE
MD +6
67
TE
19 rec · 175 yds · 1 TD
68
OL
OL
MD +9
77
OL
77
DL
8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1 TFL
DL
MD +3
80
DL
23 tkl · 2 sacks · 3.5 TFL
70
DB
4 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD
DB
MD +13
83
DB
18 tkl · 1 INT · 5 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Maryland -4.5, now -4.5: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.