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Games / Week 3 / Buffalo @ Penn State
50
Away
Bulls
#131 · 1-1
As of kickoff
Week 3 · BTN · Beaver Stadium
University Park, PA · 65° Cloudy · 5 mph
All-time series
Buffalo 1 – 4 Penn State
5 since 1900 · PSU 4 straight
Last 2026 Penn State 55–13
79
Nittany Lions
#16 · 2-0
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Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Penn State · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
Penn State by 36.7
Close
Penn State by 39.8
Final
Penn State by 42
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (Penn State); the number, within a score.

Missed — the number — market was closer (2 pts off vs our 5).

Buffalo
13
Final
Penn State won
Penn State
55
How it was won
  1. 1.Penn State out-gained Buffalo 573-173, and the run game was 304-113 Penn State's way.
  2. 2.Koby Howard 70 Yd pass from Rocco Becht
  3. 3.Penn State converted 2 of 10 third downs; Buffalo went 1 of 14.

The Matchup

BuffalovsPenn State
59
QB
253 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
QB
PSU +12
71
QB
1,397 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
68
RB
489 yds · 2 TD · 6 rec
RB
BUF +4
64
RB
227 yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
56
TE
13 rec · 110 yds · 0 TD
TE
PSU +22
78
TE
4 rec · 33 yds · 0 TD
58
OL
OL
PSU +16
74
OL
DL
BUF +1
79
DE
13 tkl · 1 sacks · 2.5 TFL
69
S
35 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD
DB
PSU +18
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Penn State -39, now -39: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.