As of kickoff
Week 1 · FS1 · Spartan Stadium
East Lansing, MI · 73° Fair · 2 mph
All-time series
Toledo 0 – 2 Michigan State
2 since 1925 · MSU 2 straight
Last 2026 Michigan State 30–20
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Michigan State · hit.
We
Michigan State by 8.9
Close
Michigan State by 10
Final
Michigan State by 10
Winner
hit
Got right — the winner (Michigan State); the number, within a score.
Missed — the number — market was closer (0 pts off vs our 1).
Toledo
20
Final
Michigan State won
Michigan State
30
How it was won
- 1.Milivojevic pass complete short right to Bullard Jr., for 5 yards, touchdown
- 2.Michigan State converted 6 of 18 third downs; Toledo went 1 of 8.
- 3.Toledo turned it over 1 time; Michigan State did not.
The Matchup
ToledovsMichigan State
63
QB
1,565 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
QB
MSU +164
QB
1,047 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
86
DE
32 tkl · 5 sacks · 8 TFL
DL
TOL +779
DL
14 tkl · 3 sacks · 4 TFL
78
LB
44 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
TOL +573
LB
25 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Michigan State -10.5, now -10.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.