Week 7 · California Memorial Stadium
Berkeley, CA · 70° Clear · 2 mph
All-time series
Wake Forest 0 – 1 California
1 since 2024
Last 2024 California 46–36
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Wake Forest is favored: 78% to win, by about 12 points.
Betting markets like Wake Forest a bit less (75%, by 9.8).
Our model 78%Market 75%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | Wake Forest by 12.0 |
| Betting market | 75% | Wake Forest by 9.8 |
| Difference | 3 pts | 2.3 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 49% of the time (891 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Wake ForestvsCalifornia
78
QB
1,680 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
QB
WAKE +2157
QB
620 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
85
WR
49 rec · 720 yds · 4 TD
WR
WAKE +1174
WR
39 rec · 361 yds · 2 TD
90
DL
33 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 8 TFL
DL
WAKE +1674
DL
14 tkl · 0 sacks · 0.5 TFL
77
LB
41 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
even77
LB
29 tkl · 4 TFL · 3 sacks
80
DB
40 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD
DB
even80
DB
27 tkl · 5 INT · 1 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Wake Forest -8.8, now -9.8: moved one point toward Wake Forest
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.