As of kickoff
Week 5 · Disney+; ESPN · Kenan Stadium
Chapel Hill, NC · 73° Overcast · 6 mph
All-time series
Notre Dame 22 – 2 North Carolina
24 since 1949 · ND 6 straight
Last 2026 Notre Dame 37–26
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Notre Dame · hit.
We
Notre Dame by 28.1
Close
Notre Dame by 21
Final
Notre Dame by 11
Winner
hit
Got right — the winner (Notre Dame).
Missed — the number — market was closer (10 pts off vs our 17); the margin (final Notre Dame by 11, we had Notre Dame by 28.1).
Notre Dame
37
Final
Notre Dame won
North Carolina
26
How it was won
- 1.Drescher kickoff 63 yards to the UNC 2 Jefferson return 98 yards0, touchdown
- 2.Notre Dame out-gained North Carolina 475-285, and the run game was 241-77 Notre Dame's way.
- 3.Notre Dame converted 4 of 11 third downs; North Carolina went 5 of 10.
The Matchup
Notre DamevsNorth Carolina
65
TE
6 rec · 48 yds · 2 TD
TE
UNC +1479
TE
22 rec · 262 yds · 4 TD
94
DL
17 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL
DL
ND +1183
DL
29 tkl · 6.5 sacks · 9.5 TFL
79
LB
30 tkl · 1 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
ND +970
LB
48 tkl · 1 TFL · 0 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Notre Dame -22.5, now -22.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.