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Games / Week 4 / Missouri State @ SMU
50
Away
Bears
#130 · 1-2
As of kickoff
Week 4 · ACC Network · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
University Park, TX · 86° Clear · 8 mph
All-time series
Missouri State 0 – 2 SMU
2 since 2025 · SMU 2 straight
Last 2026 SMU 34–24
75
Mustangs
#28 · 2-1
Home
Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had SMU · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
SMU by 31.5
Close
SMU by 30.5
Final
SMU by 10
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (SMU).

Missed — the number — market was closer (21 pts off vs our 22); the margin (final SMU by 10, we had SMU by 31.5).

Missouri State
24
Final
SMU won
SMU
34
How it was won
  1. 1.SMU out-gained Missouri State 592-239, and the run game was 128-68 SMU's way.
  2. 2.Jennings pass intercepted by Boamah at MSU 40 QB hurried by Blackmon Boamah return 60 yards, touchdown
  3. 3.SMU's front sacked them 7 times.

The Matchup

Missouri StatevsSMU
54
QB
788 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
QB
SMU +23
77
QB
1,613 yds · 14 TD · 5 INT
66
RB
233 yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
RB
SMU +9
75
RB
418 yds · 6 TD · 8 rec
WR
SMU +5
82
WR
14 rec · 231 yds · 2 TD
61
TE
8 rec · 85 yds · 1 TD
TE
SMU +15
76
TE
16 rec · 153 yds · 3 TD
55
OL
5 starts
OL
SMU +16
71
OL
72
DE
6 tkl · 0 sacks · 0 TFL
DL
SMU +12
72
LB
60 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
SMU +4
DB
SMU +3
76
S
29 tkl · 0 INT · 3 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened SMU -34.8, now -34.8: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.