Week 11 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Norman, OK · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Ole Miss 3 – 0 Oklahoma
3 since 1999 · MISS 3 straight
Last 2025 Ole Miss 34–26
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Oklahoma is favored: 52% to win, by about 1 points.
Betting markets like Oklahoma a bit more (64%, by 4).
Our model 52%Market 64%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | Oklahoma by 0.8 |
| Betting market | 64% | Oklahoma by 4 |
| Difference | 12 pts | 3.2 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 49% of the time (891 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Ole MissvsOklahoma
83
QB
1,435 yds · 11 TD · 4 INT
QB
MISS +1469
QB
1,038 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
86
WR
32 rec · 503 yds · 5 TD
WR
MISS +1076
WR
25 rec · 331 yds · 2 TD
80
DE
12 tkl · 1 sacks · 3 TFL
DL
OU +686
DL
17 tkl · 1 sacks · 4 TFL
81
LB
19 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
OU +687
LB
37 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Oklahoma -4, now -4: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.