Week 13 · ESPN · Jones AT&T Stadium
Lubbock, TX · Forecast TBA
All-time series
TCU 31 – 33 Texas Tech
67 since 1926 · 3 ties
Last 2024 TCU 35–34
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Texas Tech is favored: 83% to win, by about 15 points.
Betting markets like Texas Tech a bit more (87%, by 16.5).
Our model 83%Market 87%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 83% | Texas Tech by 14.5 |
| Betting market | 87% | Texas Tech by 16.5 |
| Difference | 4 pts | 2 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
TCUvsTexas Tech
81
TE
25 rec · 374 yds · 4 TD
TE
even81
TE
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
76
LB
21 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
TTU +1288
LB
33 tkl · 5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Texas Tech -16.5, now -16.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.