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Games / Week 12 / Iowa State @ UCF
70
Away
Iowa State
Cyclones
#48 · 3-3
Week 12 · FS1 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Orlando, FL · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Iowa State 1 – 0 UCF
1 since 2024
Last 2024 Iowa State 38–35
69
UCF
Knights
#52 · 3-3
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

UCF is favored: 55% to win, by about 2 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 55%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model55%UCF by 1.9
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

Iowa StatevsUCF
56
QB
Jaylen Raynor
1,001 yds · 7 TD · 4 INT
QB
UCF +2
58
QB
Keyone Jenkins
806 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
81
RB
Aiden Flora
680 yds · 6 TD · 10 rec
6.6 yards per carryHome Run Hitter
RB
ISU +11
70
RB
Duke Watson
483 yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
62
WR
Cody Jackson
10 rec · 191 yds · 1 TD
WR
UCF +7
69
WR
Josh Derry
28 rec · 304 yds · 2 TD
66
TE
Tyler Fortenberry
5 rec · 32 yds · 0 TD
TE
even
66
TE
Caden Piening
12 rec · 126 yds · 2 TD
67
OL
Jake Taylor
6 starts
OL
ISU +1
66
OL
Brady Wayburn
6 starts
79
DE
Isaac Terrell
11 tkl · 3 sacks · 3 TFL
DL
even
79
EDGE
Isaiah Nixon
22 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
76
LB
Carson Willich
36 tkl · 7 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
even
76
LB
Jahleel Culbreath
30 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
93
S
Braden Awls
48 tkl · 5 INT · 4 PD
DB
ISU +12
81
DB
Demari Henderson
30 tkl · 2 INT · 3 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.