Week 11 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
Fort Worth, TX · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Kansas State 11 – 8 TCU
19 since 1922 · KSU 3 straight
Last 2025 Kansas State 41–28
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
TCU is favored: 54% to win, by about 2 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 54%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | TCU by 1.7 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
Kansas StatevsTCU
79
TE
16 rec · 196 yds · 1 TD
TE
TCU +281
TE
25 rec · 374 yds · 4 TD
85
DE
19 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 8.5 TFL
DL
KSU +679
DT
21 tkl · 3 sacks · 4.5 TFL
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.