Week 8 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Salt Lake City, UT · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Houston 5 – 0 Utah
5 since 1966 · HOU 5 straight
Last 2024 Houston 17–14
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Utah is favored: 62% to win, by about 5 points.
Betting markets like Utah a bit more (69%, by 6.5).
Our model 62%Market 69%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | Utah by 4.8 |
| Betting market | 69% | Utah by 6.5 |
| Difference | 7 pts | 1.7 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
HoustonvsUtah
82
QB
1,427 yds · 15 TD · 1 INT
QB
HOU +280
QB
1,134 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
70
RB
388 yds · 3 TD · 7 rec
RB
UTAH +1989
RB
499 yds · 7 TD · 17 rec
88
TE
33 rec · 399 yds · 6 TD
TE
HOU +1375
TE
9 rec · 177 yds · 3 TD
79
LB
11 tkl · 2 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
even79
LB
24 tkl · 1 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Utah -6.5, now -6.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.