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Games / Week 1 / North Carolina @ TCU
60
Away
Tar Heels
#85 · 0-0
As of kickoff
Week 1 · Disney+; ESPN · Neutral · Aviva Stadium
Dublin, None · 64° Overcast · 7 mph · rain
All-time series
North Carolina 4 – 1 TCU
5 since 1940
Last 2026 North Carolina 15–10
71
Horned Frogs
#47 · 0-0
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Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had TCU · missed.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
TCU by 13.3
Close
TCU by 7.5
Final
North Carolina by 5
Winner
missed

Missed — the winner — we had TCU; the number — market was closer (13 pts off vs our 18); the margin (final North Carolina by 5, we had TCU by 13.3).

North Carolina
15
Final
North Carolina won
TCU
10
How it was won
  1. 1.J.McGill rush left for 9 yards, touchdown
  2. 2.North Carolina converted 3 of 11 third downs; TCU went 7 of 16.
  3. 3.North Carolina still won after 2 turnovers; TCU had 1.

The Matchup

North CarolinavsTCU
67
QB
1,068 yds · 8 TD · 5 INT
QB
UNC +1
66
QB
1,400 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
63
RB
143 yds · 5 TD · 1 rec
RB
TCU +6
69
RB
432 yds · 2 TD · 18 rec
74
WR
26 rec · 366 yds · 0 TD
WR
TCU +5
79
WR
5 rec · 100 yds · 0 TD
63
OL
OL
TCU +2
DL
UNC +4
79
DT
21 tkl · 3 sacks · 4.5 TFL
70
LB
48 tkl · 1 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
TCU +6
76
LB
21 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0 sacks
79
DB
23 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
DB
UNC +2
77
CB
16 tkl · 1 INT · 2 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened TCU -7.5, now -7.5: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.