Week 13 · ABC · Kyle Field
College Station, TX · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Texas 71 – 37 Texas A&M
113 since 1902 · 5 ties · TEX 3 straight
Last 2025 Texas 27–17
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Texas is favored: 68% to win, by about 7 points.
Betting markets like Texas a bit less (56%, by 2.5).
Our model 68%Market 56%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | Texas by 7.0 |
| Betting market | 56% | Texas by 2.5 |
| Difference | 12 pts | 4.5 pts |
Gaps this size have landed on our side 54% of the time (613 games, 2019–2024): where our line has historically held up. Track record →
The Matchup
TexasvsTexas A&M
69
RB
237 yds · 2 TD · 11 rec
RB
TA&M +372
RB
201 yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
82
WR
16 rec · 304 yds · 5 TD
WR
TEX +775
WR
7 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
96
EDGE
16 tkl · 9 sacks · 11.5 TFL
DL
TEX +1779
DE
21 tkl · 1 sacks · 3 TFL
90
LB
42 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
TEX +1377
LB
30 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0 sacks
86
DB
17 tkl · 1 INT · 4 PD
DB
TEX +977
S
25 tkl · 1 INT · 1 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Texas -2.5, now -2.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.