Week 12 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Norman, OK · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Texas A&M 12 – 19 Oklahoma
31 since 1903
Last 2012 Texas A&M 41–13
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Oklahoma is favored: 61% to win, by about 4 points.
Betting markets like Oklahoma a bit less (56%, by 2.5).
Our model 61%Market 56%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | Oklahoma by 4.4 |
| Betting market | 56% | Oklahoma by 2.5 |
| Difference | 5 pts | 1.9 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Texas A&MvsOklahoma
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Oklahoma -2.5, now -2.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.