Week 10 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Oxford, MS · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Georgia 34 – 15 Ole Miss
50 since 1940 · 1 tie
Last 2025 Georgia 43–35
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Georgia is favored: 74% to win, by about 10 points.
Betting markets like Georgia a bit less (66%, by 4.5).
Our model 74%Market 66%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | Georgia by 9.9 |
| Betting market | 66% | Georgia by 4.5 |
| Difference | 8 pts | 5.4 pts |
Gaps this size have landed on our side 54% of the time (613 games, 2019–2024): where our line has historically held up. Track record →
The Matchup
GeorgiavsOle Miss
89
QB
1,298 yds · 14 TD · 2 INT
QB
UGA +683
QB
1,435 yds · 11 TD · 4 INT
72
WR
15 rec · 219 yds · 3 TD
WR
MISS +1486
WR
32 rec · 503 yds · 5 TD
84
LB
30 tkl · 7 TFL · 2.5 sacks
LB
UGA +381
LB
19 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Georgia -4.5, now -4.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.