Building rivalry
Week 9 · Razorback Stadium
Fayetteville, AR · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Missouri 13 – 4 Arkansas
17 since 1906 · MIZ 4 straight
Last 2025 Missouri 31–17
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Missouri is favored: 77% to win, by about 11 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 77%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | Missouri by 11.4 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
MissourivsArkansas
86
EDGE
16 tkl · 7 sacks · 7.5 TFL
DL
MIZ +581
DL
10 tkl · 3 sacks · 4 TFL
79
LB
59 tkl · 4 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
MIZ +574
LB
45 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.