Week 8 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Austin, TX · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Ole Miss 2 – 6 Texas
8 since 1912
Last 2013 Ole Miss 44–23
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Texas is favored: 71% to win, by about 9 points.
Betting markets like Texas a bit more (73%, by 8.5).
Our model 71%Market 73%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | Texas by 8.7 |
| Betting market | 73% | Texas by 8.5 |
| Difference | 2 pts | 0.2 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Ole MissvsTexas
83
QB
1,435 yds · 11 TD · 4 INT
QB
MISS +1073
QB
1,125 yds · 10 TD · 5 INT
86
WR
32 rec · 503 yds · 5 TD
WR
MISS +482
WR
16 rec · 304 yds · 5 TD
80
DE
12 tkl · 1 sacks · 3 TFL
DL
TEX +1696
EDGE
16 tkl · 9 sacks · 11.5 TFL
81
LB
19 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
TEX +990
LB
42 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1 sacks
78
CB
22 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
DB
TEX +886
DB
17 tkl · 1 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Texas -8.5, now -8.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.