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Games / Week 4 / Ole Miss @ Florida
79
Away
Rebels
#15 · 3-0
As of kickoff
Week 4 · ABC · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Gainesville, FL · 82° Clear · 3 mph
All-time series
Ole Miss 13 – 14 Florida
28 since 1926 · 1 tie
Last 2026 Florida 52–28
79
Gators
#16 · 3-0
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Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Florida · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
Florida by 3.5
Close
Florida by 4
Final
Florida by 24
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (Florida).

Missed — the number — market was closer (20 pts off vs our 21); the margin (final Florida by 24, we had Florida by 3.5).

Ole Miss
28
Final
Florida won
Florida
52
How it was won
  1. 1.Clark rush left for 45 yards, touchdown
  2. 2.Florida converted 6 of 10 third downs; Ole Miss went 4 of 11.
  3. 3.Ole Miss turned it over 2 times; Florida did not.

The Matchup

Ole MissvsFlorida
60
RB
153 yds · 0 TD · 1 rec
RB
FLA +27
87
RB
672 yds · 12 TD · 7 rec
WR
MISS +7
79
WR
26 rec · 376 yds · 3 TD
80
TE
17 rec · 230 yds · 1 TD
TE
MISS +6
74
TE
2 rec · 19 yds · 0 TD
85
OL
OL
MISS +5
80
OL
80
DE
12 tkl · 1 sacks · 3 TFL
DL
FLA +5
78
CB
22 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
DB
MISS +4
74
CB
10 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Florida -2.5, now -2.5: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.