Scorebook
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44
Away
Warhawks
#130 · 0-0
As of kickoff
Week 1 · ESPNU · Davis Wade Stadium
Starkville, MS · 91° Rain Shower · 3 mph
All-time series
UL Monroe 1 – 5 Mississippi State
7 since 1972 · 1 tie · MSST 3 straight
Last 2026 Mississippi State 62–13
67
Bulldogs
#60 · 0-0
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Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Mississippi State · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
Mississippi State by 26.3
Close
Mississippi State by 28.5
Final
Mississippi State by 49
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (Mississippi State).

Missed — the number — market was closer (21 pts off vs our 23); the margin (final Mississippi State by 49, we had Mississippi State by 26.3).

UL Monroe
13
Final
Mississippi State won
Mississippi State
62
How it was won
  1. 1.Mississippi State out-gained UL Monroe 762-278, and the run game was 345-138 Mississippi State's way.
  2. 2.Marquis Johnson 70 Yd pass from Kamario Taylor
  3. 3.Mississippi State converted 5 of 11 third downs; UL Monroe went 3 of 16.

The Matchup

UL MonroevsMississippi State
QB
MSST +21
80
QB
1,450 yds · 17 TD · 4 INT
75
RB
68 yds · 1 TD · 1 rec
RB
MSST +3
63
WR
10 rec · 146 yds · 2 TD
WR
MSST +25
62
TE
14 rec · 101 yds · 1 TD
TE
even
62
TE
7 rec · 58 yds · 1 TD
57
OL
5 starts
OL
MSST +16
73
OL
5 starts
70
DL
10 tkl · 2 sacks · 2 TFL
DL
MSST +7
77
DL
13 tkl · 2 sacks · 3.5 TFL
69
LB
11 tkl · 2 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
MSST +5
74
LB
31 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2 sacks
70
DB
13 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD
DB
MSST +10
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Mississippi State -28.5, now -28.5: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.